Akademik Veri Yönetim Sistemi
Tez Türü: Yüksek Lisans
Tezin Yürütüldüğü Kurum: Yıldız Teknik Üniversitesi, Kimya-Metalurji Fakültesi, Kimya Müh.Bölümü, Türkiye
Tez Danışmanı: Hasan Sadıkoğlu
Tezin Onay Tarihi: 2021
Tezin Dili: İngilizce
Özet:
Turkey currently provides 61.2% of its electricity demand. But, Turkey’s energy
demand increases at a faster rate when compared to the world average. As a result, Turkey continue its investments in order to achieve its goals regarding the energy
efficiency and security. Since the non-renewable energy sources become more and
more expensive compared to the renewable alternatives, and not yet utilized in the
country, renewable energy will be the predominant source of energy in Turkey. Thus,
in this study, we mainly focused on developing strategies for Turkey’s renewable
energy sector. We have looked beyond 2023, and determined attainable 2033
renewable energy targets for the country, by considering different technology cost
and investment ability scenarios. In this study, firstly, up-to-date levelized cost of
electricity (LCOE) projections are conducted considering the low cost, average cost,
and high cost scenarios. Then, mathematical relations which directly link LCOE with
the total capital investment (TCI) are constructed, which are shown to be sufficient
for macro-economic calculations. An economical factor is defined and explained in
detail, which can be used to regionalize the average LCOE cost data, and to evaluate
the economic efficiency of individual projects. Some regional economical factors
evaluated in this work, while the obtainment of the factor is explained. Then, by
utilizing all these results, Turkey’s renewable energy capacity changes are simulated
for low, medium, and high investment scenarios. The electricity capacity of 2019 is
compared to the estimated 2033 capacities. Finally, the attainability of these capacities
were discussed, and suggestions for 2033 renewable energy targets were produced to be used by researchers and policymakers.