Application of Innovative Holistic Framework (IHF) for Semi-Arid Regions: A Case Study of Konya Closed Basin, Türkiye.

Abu Arra A., Şişman E.

13th INTERNATIONAL BILTEK CONGRESS ON CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS IN SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND SOCIAL SCIENCES, Paris, Fransa, 18 - 21 Aralık 2025, ss.3-9, (Tam Metin Bildiri)

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Tam Metin Bildiri
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Paris
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Fransa
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.3-9
  • Yıldız Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

In recent years, drought events have become increasingly complex due to climate change, making it challenging to accurately predict their duration, intensity, and frequency. To prevent or mitigate the negative impacts of drought events occurring under current conditions, particularly on water resources, ecosystems, and agriculture, drought events must be continuously monitored over relevant time periods and evaluated along with their developmental stages. Conventional studies on the subject fall short of this framework and rely on general statistics for numerous drought events over long periods. Consequently, classifying and understanding drought events with distinct characteristics, and taking necessary measures for risk management, is often impossible and/or incurs high costs depending on the accepted assumptions and approach. This study evaluates drought event monitoring within the innovative holistic framework (IHF), which is proposed to integrate temporal and spatial integrity. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was used to define drought events and their characteristics, and drought analyses were conducted on a three-month time scale. Using a new approach that allows monitoring and evaluation across any drought event or a randomly selected period, analyses were conducted within the framework of the Specific Period (SP) and Precipitation Index (PI) concepts for 2021, a year in which significant drought events occurred in the Konya Closed Basin, and the results were evaluated. In this way, unlike traditional long-term assessments, drought characteristics, including drought onset, development, duration, and severity, were monitored in detail for a specific period or any given month, and the findings were discussed. The results indicate significant temporal and spatial variations across the basin. These differences demonstrate that considering local vulnerabilities in drought planning is valuable for managing drought risks with appropriate resource utilization, and that new approaches are needed in this respect within the proposed framework.