Akademik Veri Yönetim Sistemi
XI. International Congress on Global Practice of Multidisciplinary Scientific Studies, Munich, Almanya, 13 - 17 Ekim 2025, ss.427-428, (Özet Bildiri)
This study goes beyond studies generally focused
solely on drought events in the literature to investigate the critical
importance of wet periods and the dry conditions that develop and emerge before
and after droughts for water resources management, agricultural sustainability,
and ecosystem balance. As is well known, drought and wet periods are sequential
and complementary elements in the hydrological cycle. The desired management
approach is for these processes to exhibit balanced and complementary patterns.
However, the disruptions observed in these patterns due to climate change in
recent years, combined with the ineffective and efficient management of water
resources, have led to serious environmental (ecosystem destruction,
biodiversity loss) and socioeconomic (such as agricultural yield decline, water
stress, and rural migration) problems as a result of short-term and unbalanced
use preferences driven by economic concerns rather than sustainable patterns
compatible with nature. The primary objective of this research is to evaluate
the temporal characteristics of wet and dry periods jointly and to reveal the
balance and variability of these processes, specifically in the Konya Closed
Basin. In this context, drought-wetness analyses were conducted at the SPI-3
and SPI-6 time scales using long-term precipitation data obtained from the
Karapınar and Konya Airport meteorological stations. Thus, drought and wetness
patterns were systematically examined, considering both short-term climate
fluctuations and longer-term hydrological anomalies. The findings indicate that
drought and wetness events are not independent processes; on the contrary, they
are complementary and balancing elements within the hydrological cycle.
However, this balance has often been disrupted during the studied periods,
particularly in recent years, drought periods have been longer and more
dominant than wet periods. This suggests that spatial differences within the
basin significantly alter drought-wetness patterns. The analyses indicate that
critical drought events occur periodically at both stations, but wet periods
occasionally interrupt these processes. These interruptions have been found to
mitigate the severity of droughts. In conclusion, this study emphasizes that
not only droughts but also wet periods are critical to the sustainability of
the hydrological system and must be monitored. Drought-wet cycles must be
considered together for water resources management, agricultural activities'
sustainability, and ecosystem balance preservation. This application,
specifically for the Konya Closed Basin, demonstrates the need for a more
holistic approach to addressing the increasingly deteriorating hydrological
patterns due to the effects of climate change.