Local-Oriented Proactive Strategy for Resilient Incorporation of Power-to-Heat Assets Into Power Grids: An Analysis Based on Stress Maps


Oskouei M. Z., TATAR A. K., ERDİNÇ O., GÖKÇEK T., Catalao J. P.

IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus)

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Basım Tarihi: 2026
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1109/tsmc.2026.3713306
  • Dergi Adı: IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Aerospace Database, Compendex, INSPEC, Materials Science & Engineering Collection (ProQuest), Technology Collection (ProQuest)
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Energy security, iterative controller, local proactive schemes, power-heat interdependence, risk-informed stress map
  • Yıldız Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

The recent proliferation of power-to-heat (PtH) assets has made the resilience of power distribution networks (PDNs) more complex, affecting renewable energy supply chains that are critical to maintaining networks. This study goes beyond by presenting a groundbreaking approach for incorporating risk-informed stress maps into PDN resilience-driven decisions to enhance preparedness for the resilient hosting of PtH assets. In particular, a resilience-driven, coordinated planning and proactive strategy is developed to ensure uninterrupted power to critical heat and electrical demands under windstorm-driven failure scenarios and associated contingencies. The proposed framework 1) constructs probabilistic feeder-level stress maps by quantifying high-impact low-probability (HILP)-induced failure likelihoods; 2) decomposes large-scale PDNs into multiple stress-homogeneous clusters to enable targeted resilience actions; and 3) implements clusterwise proactive deployment of battery energy storage (BES) systems and renewable energy sources (RESs) via an iterative three-layer decentralized control algorithm, where resiliency thresholds are locally triggered by cluster-specific adequacy and security setpoints and stress maps are updated accordingly. The simulation results on the IEEE 69-bus test system demonstrate the effectiveness of stress maps in revealing targeted mitigation opportunities, forming self-sufficient clusters with reduced congestion, and increasing the hosting capacity of PtH assets under severe failures. Under the worst case upstream disconnection, enforcing cluster-specific security/adequacy setpoints eliminates PtH heat shedding, reducing it from 36.65% to 0%.