Early detection of thermal runaway in lithium-ion batteries under extreme conditions using phase change materials


Örs E. F., Javani N.

Thermal Science and Engineering Progress, cilt.70, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 70
  • Basım Tarihi: 2026
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1016/j.tsep.2026.104502
  • Dergi Adı: Thermal Science and Engineering Progress
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Compendex, INSPEC
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Lithium-ion battery, Long short-term memory, Machine learning, Multi-scale multi-domain, Thermal runaway
  • Yıldız Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

In the current study, a machine learning model for the early detection of thermal runaway in lithium-ion batteries is developed. A nickel manganese cobalt battery is modeled and validated using a multi-scale multi-domain approach. Following model validation, the cell is coated with phase change material and thermal runaway is triggered by an external heat source. In the simulation phase, 144 thermal runaway data are obtained. The voltage, current, phase change material temperature, and battery temperature data are recorded in time-series. After the preparation of the data set, a long short-term memory model is built to predict the thermal runaway at an early stage. Once the prediction model is built, the trade-off relationship between the prediction performance of the model and the training time is investigated in more detail. As a result, it was found that the thermal runaway onset time could be predicted with an error of 5.33 seconds using the first 40 seconds of battery operation data in training and after 70 seconds of model evaluation. Increasing the training time to 120 seconds decreased the thermal runaway onset time prediction error to 2.67 seconds.