The triple threat: unpacking the interplay between inflation, government expenditure, energy efficiency, and environmental pollution


BİLDİRİCİ M. E., ÇIRPICI Y. A.

Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2025 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Basım Tarihi: 2025
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1007/s11356-024-35718-0
  • Dergi Adı: Environmental Science and Pollution Research
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, IBZ Online, ABI/INFORM, Aerospace Database, Agricultural & Environmental Science Database, Aqualine, Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA), BIOSIS, CAB Abstracts, EMBASE, Environment Index, Geobase, MEDLINE, Pollution Abstracts, Veterinary Science Database, Civil Engineering Abstracts
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Energy efficiency, Energy policy, Fiscal expenditure, Fiscal policy, Inflation rate, Monetary policy, PLSTRVAR, Renewable energy, STAR
  • Yıldız Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

This study investigates the relation and Granger causality among inflation, fiscal expenditure, energy consumption, economic growth, energy efficiency, renewable energy consumption, and environmental pollution in the G7 countries utilizing the PLSTRVAR model for 1975–2022. Our findings highlight the results that inflation and fiscal expenditure have impact on environmental pollution across different regimes. On the other hand, unlike some studies in the literature, it emphasizes that renewable energy consumption may have pollution-increasing effects on environmental pollution. In the context of PLSTRVAR-GC results, it determines that the selected variables are the Granger cause of environmental pollution. However, within the framework of the direction of Granger causality, the results differ between regimes and variables. Notably, the causality analysis reveals a bidirectional causality between energy policy; energy efficiency and renewable energy, and environmental pollution in both regimes, while a unidirectional causality from inflation and fiscal expenditure to environmental pollution. These insights underscore the necessity for governments to adeptly balance fiscal policy, inflation control, and environmental pollution. Policymakers are thus challenged to implement fiscal measures that simultaneously stimulate economic growth, manage inflation, and support the transition to a low-carbon economy, thereby reducing CO2 emissions.